The 2026 NFL season is here, which means it’s time to start hunting for value in the win totals. The Chicago Bears face a tougher road after living dangerously last season, while the Carolina Panthers, Las Vegas Raiders and Houston Texans all have reasons to believe bigger things are coming.
If you’re looking for NFL season win total bets, fade Chicago’s comeback magic while backing Carolina, Las Vegas and Houston to clear their numbers in 2026.
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. DraftKings does not sponsor this content.
Best NFL Win Total Futures
Chicago Bears Under 9.5 Wins (-125)
Chicago had a knack for escaping trouble last season, but living dangerously gets tougher in 2026. The Bears went 7-1 against losing teams and pulled off five wins after trailing at halftime. Now they go from the second-toughest schedule to the hardest, while bringing back a defense that ranked 29th in yards allowed per play. Caleb Williams and Ben Johnson should keep the offense entertaining, but expecting another season full of comeback magic is asking a lot.
Carolina Panthers Over 7.5 Wins (+115)
Carolina might actually be cooking something in 2026. Bryce Young took another step forward last season, throwing 23 touchdowns while leading the Panthers to an NFC South title. Now he gets more help, while the defense adds serious juice with Jaelan Phillips, Devin Lloyd and rookie Lee Hunter. Phillips alone should boost a pass rush that ranked near the bottom of the NFL. Toss in a very winnable NFC South, and getting to eight victories feels completely reasonable.
Las Vegas Raiders Over 5.5 Wins (-150)
Las Vegas doesn’t need a miracle season — just six wins. The Raiders upgraded a miserable quarterback situation with Kirk Cousins and No. 1 pick Fernando Mendoza, while new coach Klint Kubiak should bring some life to the offense. They also beefed up the offensive line, and a healthy Brock Bowers gives either quarterback an elite target. With Maxx Crosby still causing chaos on defense, this roster looks much better than last year’s version.
Houston Texans Over 9.5 Wins (-146)
Houston has made double-digit wins a habit under DeMeco Ryans, and there’s little reason to expect the party to stop. The Texans allowed just 17.4 points per game last season, C.J. Stroud bounced back nicely, and the offensive line got reinforcements in the offseason. Adding David Montgomery should also help an offense that struggled to finish drives. With an elite defense and another AFC South title there for the taking, this seems like a lock.
