It's time for the "Fourth of July Fireworks Forecast," and these home run matchups are ready to light up the sky. Ryan O'Hearn gets a dream matchup against Zack Littell, who's already surrendered 22 home runs this season, including 16 to left-handed hitters. Jordan Walker looks poised to keep his July power surge rolling against Shota Imanaga, who's been getting burned by right-handed power. Meanwhile, Xander Bogaerts brings a strong history against Yoshinobu Yamamoto into another favorable matchup.
If you're chasing Independence Day home run props, these three bats have all the ingredients for fireworks.
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. DraftKings does not sponsor this content.
Also See:
- Best MLB First-Run Inning Predictions (YRFI/NRFI) for Saturday, July 4
- Best Overall MLB Player Prop Bet Predictions for Saturday, July 4
Best Home Run Props Today
Ryan O'Hearn Home Run Bet (+385)
O'Hearn is staring at a dream matchup to kick off July. The Pirates slugger has crushed right-handed pitching all season, with 10 of his 14 home runs coming against righties, and now he gets Zack Littell. Few pitchers have been more generous, as Littell has already surrendered 22 home runs, including 16 to left-handed hitters.
Jordan Walker Home Run Bet (+402)
Walker wasted no time carrying his power into July, and Saturday sets up for another blast. The Cardinals slugger gets a dream matchup against Shota Imanaga, who's been getting tagged by right-handed hitters all season. Fourteen of Imanaga's 20 home runs allowed have come against righties, including seven over his last five starts. Walker's elite hard-contact profile makes this a perfect recipe for another Fourth of July moonshot.
Xander Bogaerts Home Run Bet (+TBD)
Bogaerts is a sneaky value play to leave the yard Saturday. Seven of his eight home runs this season have come against right-handed pitching, and he has a strong track record against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, going 7-for-19 with a homer and two doubles. Yamamoto has already served up 11 long balls this season, giving Bogaerts a golden opportunity to deliver fireworks.
2026 MLB HR Leaders
- DH Kyle Schwarber, Philadelphia Phillies (30)
- C Hunter Goodman, Colorado Rockies (27)
- OF Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros (27)
- OF Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins (25)
- 3B Junior Caminero, Tampa Bay Rays (25)
