MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets for Tuesday, Aug. 11

Tuesday's MLB home run predictions target Spencer Torkelson, Julio Rodríguez and Corbin Carroll in favorable matchups built for power.

by Andrew Phelps

Aug 11, 2026

Seattle Mariners center fielder Julio Rodriguez (44) celebrates

Steven Bisig-Imagn Images

It's the "Tuesday Tater Tracker," and three sluggers have matchups worth attacking. Spencer Torkelson looks to end his August homer drought against Tanner Bibee, who allowed three long balls in his last start. Julio Rodríguez draws Ryan Weathers, who's surrendered 14 of his 17 homers to right-handed hitters. Meanwhile, Corbin Carroll gets Tomoyuki Sugano, who's allowed 15 home runs to lefties and six over his last four starts.

If you're looking for Tuesday's best home run props, Torkelson, Rodríguez and Carroll have the power and matchups to leave the yard.

All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. DraftKings does not sponsor this content.

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Best Home Run Props Today

Spencer Torkelson Home Run Bet (+387)

Torkelson is overdue for some August fireworks. The Tigers slugger has 20 homers with a solid 41.9% hard-hit rate, and 17 of those bombs have come against right-handed pitching. That's bad news for Tanner Bibee, who's already surrendered 23 home runs this season and was rocked for three in his last start. Torkelson hasn't gone deep yet this month, but Tuesday looks like the perfect spot to change that.

Julio RodriguezHome Run Bet(+384)

Rodríguez is already bringing the August fireworks with two homers this month, and Tuesday's matchup could keep them coming. The Mariners star owns a 42.9% hard-hit rate and has taken lefties deep eight times this season. Ryan Weathers has been especially vulnerable to right-handed bats, allowing them to crush 14 of his 17 homers surrendered. Even better, 11 have come in his home ballpark.

Corbin Carroll Home Run Bet (+369)

Carroll gets the classic lefty-righty matchup Tuesday, and the numbers make this one hard to ignore. The Diamondbacks star has 16 homers with an impressive 48.6% hard-hit rate, including 12 bombs against right-handed pitching. Tomoyuki Sugano has been serving up souvenirs, allowing 22 home runs this season, including 15 to lefties and six over his last four starts.