MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets for Sunday, July 5

Juan Soto, Colson Montgomery and Alec Burleson headline Sunday's top MLB home run prop bets with favorable power matchups.

by Andrew Phelps

Jul 5, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals first baseman Alec Burleson (41) celebrates with teammates

Brett Davis-Imagn Images

It's "Sunday See-Ya Selections," and three hitters jump off the board in premium home run matchups. Juan Soto looks ready to stay hot against Martin Perez, who's been giving up loud contact and plenty of fly balls. Colson Montgomery brings his career-high 22 home runs into a matchup with Tanner Bibee, who's struggled to contain left-handed power. Meanwhile, Alec Burleson gets another crack at a right-handed pitcher after doing most of his damage against righties all season.

If you're chasing Sunday's best home run props, these three bats have the matchup, power, and momentum to leave the yard.

All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. DraftKings does not sponsor this content.

Also See:

Best First-Inning Prop Bets (YRFI, NRFI) for Sunday, July 5
Best MLB Player Prop Bets for Sunday, July 5

Best Home Run Props Today

Juan Soto Home Run Bet (+402)

Soto launched his first home run of July on Friday and now gets a favorable matchup against Martin Perez, who's been giving up plenty of loud contact lately. Perez has surrendered three homers over his last two starts and carries a sky-high 46.7% fly-ball rate. With Soto's elite 50.5% hard-hit rate, this feels like another prime moonshot opportunity.

Colson Montgomery Home Run Bet (+392)

The White Sox shortstop already has a career-high 22 home runs and wasted no time getting on the board in July. Now he faces Tanner Bibee, who's been vulnerable to left-handed power, allowing 11 of his 17 homers to lefties. Montgomery has been feasting on right-handed pitching all season, making this another prime moonshot opportunity.

Alec Burleson Home Run Bet (+491)

Burleson is built for this matchup. The Cardinals slugger has crushed right-handed pitching all season, with 13 of his 14 home runs coming against righties, and he's already swinging a hot bat in July. Now he gets Javier Assad, who's been tagged by left-handed hitters, allowing eight of his 10 home runs to lefties.