MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets for Sunday, Aug. 23

Sunday’s long-ball targets put Pete Alonso, Randy Arozarena and Nolan Arenado in prime spots to turn favorable matchups into home runs.

by Andrew Phelps

Aug 23, 2026

Baltimore Orioles infielder Pete Alonso (25) heads for home plate

Jamie Sabau-Imagn Images

It’s “Sunday See-Ya Selections,” and three veteran sluggers have matchups begging for a trip around the bases. Pete Alonso gets Nick Martinez, who’s surrendered six homers over his last four starts. Randy Arozarena draws Shota Imanaga, who’s been tagged for 29 bombs this season. Meanwhile, red-hot Nolan Arenado faces Andrew Abbott, a pitcher he’s already taken deep twice.

If you’re chasing Sunday’s best home run props, Alonso, Arozarena and Arenado have the hot bats, matchup history and power to leave the yard.

All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. DraftKings does not sponsor this content.

Best MLB First-Inning Predictions (NRFI/YRFI) for Sunday, Aug. 23

Best Home Run Props Today

Pete Alonso Home Run Bet (+311)

The Polar Bear is heating up at exactly the right time, crushing three homers over the last week and reaching 30 for the sixth straight season. Alonso has done most of his damage against righties with 23 bombs, and he’s already taken Nick Martinez deep before. Martinez has been handing out souvenirs lately, allowing six homers over his last four starts.

Randy Arozarena Home Run Bet (+TBD)

Arozarena is bringing some serious pop into Sunday, launching six homers over the last 30 days to reach 19 on the season. Now he gets Shota Imanaga, who’s basically been running a home run giveaway with 29 bombs allowed. Righties have crushed 19 of those, and Imanaga owns a 4.60 ERA this month.

Nolan Arenado Home Run Bet (+640)

Arenado is turning August into his personal home run derby, crushing seven bombs this month, including one Saturday night. He’s also been more dangerous at home, and Sunday brings a pitcher he knows very well. Arenado is 9-for-22 with two homers against Andrew Abbott, who’s surrendered 14 of his 18 bombs to righties.