MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets for Monday, Aug. 3

CJ Abrams, Esmerlyn Valdez and Junior Caminero headline Monday's top MLB home run prop picks with elite power matchups and strong trends.

by Andrew Phelps

Aug 3, 2026

Washington Nationals shortstop CJ Abrams (5) watches his ball on a two-run home run

Isaiah J&period; Downing-Imagn Images

Monday's "Moonshot Monday" features three sluggers in excellent spots to go deep. CJ Abrams has been on fire since the All-Star break and now faces Aaron Nola, who's allowed seven home runs over his last four starts. Esmerlyn Valdez follows an eight-homer July into a matchup with Brandon Sproat, who's surrendered at least one homer in seven of his last nine outings. Junior Caminero brings his 30-homer season into a matchup with Michael Lorenzen, a pitcher he's already homered off twice.

If you're looking for Monday's best home run props, Abrams, Valdez and Caminero have the power, matchup and trends to leave the yard.

All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. DraftKings does not sponsor this content.

More MLB predictions:

Best MLB Player Prop Bet Predictions for Monday, Aug. 3
Best First-Inning Run Projection Predictions for Monday, Aug. 3

Best Home Run Props Today

CJ Abrams Home Run Bet (+386)

Abrams has already crushed eight home runs since the All-Star break and has shattered his previous career high with 28 on the season. Now he gets Aaron Nola, a pitcher he's already homered off and one who's been serving up plenty of long balls lately. Nola has allowed seven homers over his last four starts, with left-handed hitters doing most of the damage. Abrams is in another prime spot to go deep Monday.

Esmerlyn Valdez Home Run Bet (+361)

After a slow start, he caught fire with eight home runs in July and now owns a monster 50.6% hard-hit rate. The matchup couldn't be much better either. Brandon Sproat has already been taken deep by Valdez, has allowed 17 homers this season, and has surrendered at least one long ball in seven of his last nine starts. Everything points toward another blast Monday.

Junior Caminero Home Run Bet(+280)

The Rays slugger has already launched 30 home runs this season, with 23 coming against right-handed pitching, and his elite 50.3% hard-hit rate shows the power is no accident. Even better, he's already gone 3-for-6 with two home runs against Michael Lorenzen, who owns a 6.54 ERA and has served up 16 long balls this year. All signs point to another Caminero moonshot on Monday.