MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets for Monday, Aug. 24

Munetaka Murakami, Michael Busch and Brooks Lee headline Monday’s MLB home run picks with favorable splits and homer-prone pitchers on deck.

by Andrew Phelps

Aug 24, 2026

Chicago White Sox first baseman Munetaka Murakami (5) at bat against the Chicago Cubs

Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images

Monday’s “Moonshot Monday” features three hitters with matchups built for fireworks. Munetaka Murakami gets Kumar Rocker, who’s allowed 11 of his 17 homers to lefties. Michael Busch faces Merrill Kelly, a pitcher he’s already taken deep and who’s surrendered 18 bombs to left-handed bats. Meanwhile, Brooks Lee draws Jeffrey Springs, who has allowed at least one homer in 13 of his last 14 starts.

If you’re looking for Monday’s best home run props, Murakami, Busch and Lee have the power, splits and pitching matchups to leave the yard.

All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. DraftKings does not sponsor this content.

More MLB predictions:

Best First-Inning Run Projection Predictions for Monday, Aug. 24

Best Home Run Props Today

Munetaka Murakami Home Run Bet (+284)

Murakami has his thunder back, launching five bombs already in August after a hamstring injury derailed his summer. He’s crushed 29 homers this season, with 23 coming against righties, and he’s been even more dangerous at home. Kumar Rocker has been vulnerable to left-handed power, surrendering 11 of his 17 homers to lefties.

Michael Busch Home Run Bet (+TBD)

Busch is starting to bring the boom, crushing two homers over the last week as summer winds down. He’s already taken Merrill Kelly deep and owns a 4-for-8 career mark against him. Even better, Kelly has been serving up souvenirs, allowing 11 bombs over his last 10 starts and 18 of his 26 to lefties.

Brooks Lee Home Run Bet(+522)

This one is all about attacking Jeffrey Springs. He has allowed at least one homer in 13 of his last 14 starts. He’s surrendered 29 bombs overall, with 21 coming against right-handed bats. That puts switch-hitting Brooks Lee on the favorable side Monday, and he’s bringing some pop with 20 homers and a blast Saturday night.