MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets for Monday, Aug. 17

Matt Olson, Colson Montgomery and Lawrence Butler headline Monday’s MLB home run predictions with hot bats and homer-friendly matchups.

by Andrew Phelps

Aug 17, 2026

Athletics right fielder Lawrence Butler (4) celebrates with teammates

Dennis Lee-Imagn Images

Monday’s “Moonshot Monday” features three power bats in matchups ready for fireworks. Matt Olson stays scorching against Bailey Ober, who’s allowed 12 homers to lefties and four over his last three starts. Colson Montgomery gets Shota Imanaga, who’s surrendered a whopping 28 long balls this season. Meanwhile, Lawrence Butler brings a four-homer-in-five-games heater into a matchup with Michael Wacha, who’s been taken deep like crazy lately.

If you’re looking for Monday’s best home run props, Olson, Montgomery and Butler have the power, matchup and recent trends to leave the yard.

All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. DraftKings does not sponsor this content.

More MLB predictions:

Best First-Inning Run Projection Predictions for Monday, Aug. 17

Best Home Run Props Today

Matt Olson Home Run Bet (+260)

Olson is treating August like his personal home run derby, already launching seven bombs this month to reach 36 on the season. He’s crushed 22 against righties, and Bailey Ober has been especially generous to left-handed bats, allowing them 12 of his 17 homers surrendered. Ober has also coughed up four over his last three starts. Olson went deep in their only previous meeting, and I’m calling for an encore Monday.

Colson Montgomery Home Run Bet (+398)

Montgomery hasn’t been launching them at his early-season pace, but 26 homers say the thunder is still very real. He’s even popped eight against lefties, including one off Monday’s opponent, Shota Imanaga. That matchup is begging to be attacked, with Imanaga serving up a whopping 28 bombs this season and six over his last three starts.

Lawrence Butler Home Run Bet(+680)

Butler is basically circling the bases for fun right now, crushing four homers in his last five games. Eight of his 11 bombs have come against righties, and he’s already taken Michael Wacha deep while going 3-for-7 against him. Wacha has become a home run ATM lately, surrendering eight in his last eight starts. Butler’s bat is way too hot to ignore, so I’m riding the heater again Monday.