MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets for Monday, Aug. 10

Monday's MLB home run predictions feature Wilyer Abreu, Alec Burleson and Tyler Soderstrom in favorable matchups to leave the yard.

by Athlon Sports
MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets for Monday, Aug. 10

St. Louis Cardinals first baseman Alec Burleson (41) is congratulated by teammates

Jeff Curry-Imagn Images

Monday's "Moonshot Monday" features three left-handed bats in juicy matchups. Wilyer Abreu gets Jameson Taillon, who's allowed 26 home runs this season, including 14 to lefties. Alec Burleson stays red-hot against Andrew Painter, whose homer-against rate of one per 85.7 pitches could spell trouble against a hitter with four August homers. Meanwhile, Tyler Soderstrom draws Freddy Peralta, who's surrendered 15 of his 19 home runs to left-handed hitters.

If you're looking for Monday's best home run props, Abreu, Burleson and Soderstrom have the power, splits and matchups to leave the yard.

All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change. DraftKings does not sponsor this content.

More MLB predictions:

  • Best First-Inning Run Projection Predictions for Monday, Aug. 10

Best Home Run Props Today

Wilyer Abreu Home Run Bet (+323)

Abreu is creeping closer to a career high, and Monday gives him a great chance to add another souvenir. The lefty has 20 homers with a 43.5% hard-hit rate, and 15 have come against right-handed pitching. Enter Jameson Taillon, who's allowed 26 long balls this season, including 14 to lefties, while carrying a 39.1% fly-ball rate. In Taillon’s Blue Jays debut, he allowed three runs and one home run over four innings.

Alec Burleson Home Run Bet (+482)

Burleson is seeing beach balls at the plate right now. He launched his 19th homer Sunday, already has four in August and sits just three shy of a new career high. Even better, 16 of his 19 bombs have come against righties. Andrew Painter has allowed 15 homers in 14 starts, including nine to lefties, while allowing nearly 60% of his batted balls in the air.

Tyler Soderstrom Home Run Bet(+388)

Soderstrom is starting to heat up, blasting two homers over the weekend to push his season total to 19. The lefty brings a strong 46.3% hard-hit rate into Monday and gets a matchup worth attacking. Freddy Peralta has surrendered 19 home runs this season, with a whopping 15 coming against left-handed bats. With Peralta making his Rays debut

2026 MLB HR Leaders

  • DH Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros (35)
  • DH Kyle Schwarber, Philadelphia Phillies (35)
  • C Hunter Goodman, Colorado Rockies (34)
  • 1B Matt Olson, Atlanta Braves (34)
  • 3B Junior Caminero, Tampa Bay Rays (33)
Published:
by Athlon Sports

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