Sunday in Jacksonville sets up as a throwing day for Daniel Jones and the Colts, whether Shane Steichen wants one or not. Indianapolis is a 10-point underdog at EverBank Stadium with a 46.5-point total, which puts the Colts’ implied total around 18 points, and they arrive on a three-game skid after trading Quenton Nelson to Seattle this week.
The Jaguars are 4-2 and coming off their bye. They also allow 273.8 passing yards per game, 30th in the league, and gave up 320 a game over three weeks before the break.
Kickoff is 1 p.m. ET on CBS, with Spero Dedes on play-by-play, Adam Archuleta as the analyst and Aditi Kinkhabwala on the sideline, per Colts.com. Here are four Colts props worth a look, with lines from DraftKings.
Odds refresh often and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jonathan Taylor Anytime TD (-110)

Taylor leads the NFL with eight rushing touchdowns and has scored in five of seven games, including each of the past two. He’s playing Sunday in his usual role despite the trade talk around him.
Jacksonville’s run defense is tough, allowing a league-low 72.2 rushing yards per game. Yards and touchdowns aren’t the same bet, though. When the Colts reach the red zone, the ball goes to Taylor, and no Colts pass catcher has more than two touchdowns.
Daniel Jones Over 187.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Jones has thrown for 1,398 yards in seven starts, just under 200 per game, and Steichen has said he hasn’t thought about benching him. The efficiency hasn’t been there at 5.8 yards per attempt, but this line is about volume.
A double-digit deficit against the league’s 30th-ranked pass defense means a lot of dropbacks. Jacksonville also has just 11 sacks, and its three highest-paid pass rushers have combined for 4.5 of them.
Josh Downs Over 33.5 Receiving Yards (-109)

Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images
Downs requested a trade this week, then said he’s in the game plan. He leads the Colts with 307 receiving yards and has cleared 33.5 in five of seven games.
His slot matchup is Jourdan Lewis, whose 54.8 coverage grade at PFF comes with an 89.6 passer rating allowed. Downs was held to 18 yards in Minnesota, but that came against an unbeaten Vikings defense.
Tyler Warren Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Warren is back after a groin injury kept him out in Minnesota, and the second-year tight end has 30 catches for 213 yards and two touchdowns in five games. That’s 42.6 yards per game, a hair over this number before you factor in the game script.
Warren leads the team in catches. With Anthony Gould out and the Colts likely chasing, five or six targets is a fair expectation, and our Week 8 analytics look shows how few other edges Indianapolis has in this matchup.
More on the Indianapolis Colts
- Final Injury Report for Colts-Jaguars: Will Tyler Warren, Jakobi Meyers Play?
- Indianapolis Colts May Be Stuck With Their QB Problem for Another Year
- Should You Start Jonathan Taylor Against the Jaguars in Week 8 Without Quenton Nelson?
- 14 of 15 NFL Experts Are Taking the Jaguars Over a Colts Team in the Middle of a Fire Sale
