New Orleans has owned this series lately. The Saints have won three straight against the Giants, and their last trip to MetLife Stadium ended in a 14-11 win in December 2024. A fourth straight win would be the longest Saints winning streak in a series that is tied 17-17. Getting there means beating a 3-1-1 Giants team that is 2-0-1 since Jameis Winston took over at quarterback.
Kellen Moore sees the challenge. “But these guys have some unique playmakers on both sides of the football and it’ll be a fun challenge for us,” Moore said on WWL this week.
Here’s how the Saints win, and how they don’t.
Reasons the Saints will beat the Giants in Week 6
Chris Olave can win any matchup. Olave’s 537 receiving yards rank second in the NFL, and he has gone over 100 yards three times, including 182 in the opener at Detroit. He has caught 39 of his 54 targets, a 72.2% catch rate for a receiver who regularly works downfield. He’s tied for second with eight catches of 20 or more yards, per Giants.com’s stat preview. If an illness doesn’t keep him out, the Giants will need help over the top against him.
The red zone offense is finishing drives. New Orleans has scored touchdowns on 13 of 16 red zone trips, third-best entering the week. Tyler Shough has 10 big-time throws, second among quarterbacks, according to his PFF page. The Saints have the Giants’ Cover-3 looks to solve, but they’ve been efficient once they get inside the 20.
Winston will give the Saints chances. Winston has thrown for 805 yards with six touchdown passes and three interceptions, and he lost a fumble in the Week 5 tie with Washington. Chase Young has four sacks and Carl Granderson has 2.5, and Julian Blackmon has the defense’s only interception. That production is why Young’s $51 million contract looks smart. Winston facing his old team gives a pass rush plenty of chances to take the ball away.
Reasons the Giants will beat the Saints
The blitz could overwhelm New Orleans’ protection. Dennard Wilson’s defense blitzed on 62.2% of dropbacks against Washington and posted a season-high five sacks. Shough has already been sacked 13 times, and the Saints rank 26th or worse at tackle. Moore said after the Vikings game that the team needs to protect him better.
Turnovers keep sinking the Saints. New Orleans is minus-6 in turnover margin and has lost every game in which it lost the turnover battle. Jevon Holland leads the NFL with three interceptions and was named NFC Defensive Player of the Month, and Winston has responded to his critics by keeping the Giants unbeaten in his starts. The Saints have also allowed 30.2 points per game, 31st in the league.
“Ultimately, we had three of our own doing,” Moore said of the giveaways against Minnesota. If that count drops to zero Sunday, the Saints will have a real shot to fix a trust problem Moore has been fighting since the loss to Atlanta. A clean game from Shough, with Olave healthy and the defense forcing even one turnover, is a realistic formula for a fourth straight win over New York.
