2026 Bowl Projections after Week 1: LSU on the Rise After Win Over Clemson

Athlon Sports' Steven Lassan updates bowl and playoff projections after Week 1.

by Athlon Sports
2026 Bowl Projections after Week 1: LSU on the Rise After Win Over Clemson

LSU quarterback Sam Leavitt

Stephen Lew-Imagn Images

College football’s Week 1 slate for the 2026 season wasn’t loaded with matchups featuring two ranked teams. However, as always, it delivered plenty of must-see games and intrigue. LSU crushed Clemson 51-10 in Saturday night’s top contest, and coach Lane Kiffin’s Bayou Bengals are on the rise in this week’s bowl projections. Outside of the Tigers moving up, not much changed in the playoff projections, as there were no major upsets among top teams. As a result of easy victories, Ohio State, Georgia and Texas maintain their hold on the top three spots in the projected 12-team field.

The postseason begins on Dec. 15 with two matchups and continues until Jan. 25 with the national championship at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The playoffs start on Dec. 18 with one first-round game, followed by three on Saturday, Dec. 19, hosted at on-campus sites. The quarterfinals are slated for Dec. 30 and Jan. 1. The semifinals for the College Football Playoff take place on Jan. 14 and Jan. 15; the Orange Bowl and Sugar Bowl host the matchups.

Due to conference realignment, some of the bowl tie-ins will be scrambled again in ’26. Former Pac-12 teams are eligible for bowl appearances in the conference’s old tie-ins. One postseason contest — the Arizona Bowl — has yet to set a date for its matchup.

Just missing the projections: Florida State, Duke, UCF, Kansas, Wisconsin, Texas State, Colorado State, Syracuse, UConn, Temple, Florida Atlantic, Eastern Michigan, Central Michigan, San Jose State, Nevada and Louisiana.

How will the postseason matchups look by December? Below are Athlon Sports’ predictions for every bowl and playoff game in 2026-27 after Week 1:

College Football Bowl Projections for 2026-27

Salute to Veterans Bowl (Dec. 15)

Location: Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Ala.
Tie-In: CUSA/MAC/Sun Belt/American
Projection: Delaware vs. Georgia Southern

Frisco Football Classic (Dec. 15)

Location: Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas
Tie-In: American/CUSA/MAC/MW/Sun Belt
Projection: Louisiana Tech vs. UMass

Boca Raton Bowl (Dec. 18)

Location: Flagler Credit Union Stadium in Boca Raton, Fla.
Tie-In: American/CUSA/MAC/MW/Sun Belt
Projection: Troy vs. Liberty

Gasparilla Bowl (Dec. 18)

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.
Tie-In: ACC vs. SEC
Projection: Memphis* vs. Vanderbilt

Myrtle Beach Bowl (Dec. 21)

Location: Brooks Stadium in Conway, S.C.
Tie-In: American/CUSA/MAC/Sun Belt
Projection: Tulsa vs. Marshall

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (Dec. 21)

Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho
Tie-In: MAC vs. Mountain West
Projection: Toledo vs. Air Force

Puerto Rico Bowl (Dec. 22)

Location: Juan Ramón Loubriel Stadium in Bayamón, Puerto Rico
Tie-In: MAC vs. American/CUSA/Sun Belt
Projection: Miami (Ohio) vs. East Carolina

Cure Bowl (Dec. 22)

Location: Acrisure Bounce House in Orlando, Fla.
Tie-In: American/CUSA/MAC/Sun Belt
Projection: South Florida vs. Western Michigan

Independence Bowl (Dec. 22)

Location: Independence Stadium in Shreveport, La.
Tie-In: Big 12 vs. Conference USA/Pac-12
Projection: Oklahoma State vs. Tulane*

New Orleans Bowl (Dec. 23)

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
Tie-In: Conference USA vs. Sun Belt
Projection: Kennesaw State vs. James Madison

Armed Forces Bowl (Dec. 23)

Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas
Tie-In: Big 12 vs. Group of 6
Projection: Arizona State vs. UNLV

Frisco Bowl (Dec. 23)

Location: Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas
Tie-In: Group of 6 vs. Group of 6
Projection: Old Dominion vs. Western Kentucky

Poinsettia Bowl (Dec. 23)

Location: Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, Calif.
Tie-In: Pac-12 vs. Former Pac-12 Teams
Projection: Fresno State vs. UCLA

New Mexico Bowl (Dec. 24)

Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, N.M.
Tie-In: Mountain West vs. Group of 6
Projection: New Mexico vs. California*

Hawaii Bowl (Dec. 24)

Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, Hawaii
Tie-In: Mountain West vs. American/Pac-12
Projection: Hawaii vs. San Diego State

Pinstripe Bowl (Dec. 26)

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, N.Y.
Tie-In: ACC vs. Big Ten
Projection: Pitt vs. Minnesota

Fenway Bowl (Dec. 26)

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, Mass.
Tie-In: ACC vs. American
Projection: NC State vs. Army

Duke’s Mayo Bowl (Dec. 26)

Location: Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, N.C.
Tie-In: ACC vs. Big Ten
Projection: Virginia Tech vs. Iowa

68 Ventures Bowl (Dec. 26)

Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Ala.
Tie-In: CUSA/MAC/Sun Belt
Projection: Jacksonville State vs. Arkansas State

Cactus Bowl (Dec. 26)

Location: Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, Ariz.
Tie-In: Big 12 vs. Big Ten
Projection: West Virginia vs. Illinois

Military Bowl (Dec. 28)

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Md.
Tie-In: ACC vs. American
Projection: Wake Forest vs. Navy

Holiday Bowl (Dec. 28)

Location: Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, Calif.
Tie-In: ACC vs. Pac-12
Projection: Clemson vs. Utah

Birmingham Bowl (Dec. 29)

Location: Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Ala.
Tie-In: American/ACC vs. SEC
Projection: Mississippi State vs. Georgia Tech

Pop-Tarts Bowl (Dec. 29)

Location: Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla.
Tie-In: ACC vs. Big 12
Projection: Louisville vs. Houston

Alamo Bowl (Dec. 29)

Location: Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas
Tie-In: Big 12 vs. Pac-12
Projection: BYU vs. USC

Gator Bowl (Dec. 30)

Location: EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla.
Tie-In: ACC vs. SEC
Projection: SMU vs. Alabama

Music City Bowl (Dec. 30)

Location: Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn.
Tie-In: Big Ten vs. SEC
Projection: Nebraska vs. South Carolina

ReliaQuest Bowl (Dec. 31)

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.
Tie-In: Big Ten vs. SEC
Projection: Michigan vs. Florida

Sun Bowl (Dec. 31)

Location: Sun Bowl Stadium in El Paso, Texas
Tie-In: ACC vs. Pac-12
Projection: Virginia vs. Arizona

Las Vegas Bowl (Dec. 31)

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nev.
Tie-In: Pac-12 vs. SEC
Projection: Washington vs. Tennessee

Texas Bowl (Dec. 31)

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas
Tie-In: Big 12 vs. SEC
Projection: TCU vs. Missouri

Citrus Bowl (Jan. 2)

Location: Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla.
Tie-In: Big Ten vs. SEC
Projection: Penn State vs. Ole Miss

First Responder Bowl (Jan. 2)

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas
Tie-In: Group of 6/Big 12
Projection: Colorado vs. UTSA

Liberty Bowl (Jan. 2)

Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, Tenn.
Tie-In: Big 12 vs. SEC
Projection: Kansas State vs. Auburn

Arizona Bowl (TBD)

Location: Arizona Stadium in Tucson, Ariz.
Tie-In: MAC vs. Mountain West
Projection: Ohio vs. North Dakota State

College Football Playoff

College Football Playoff First Round

Games to be played on Dec. 18 and Dec. 19. Contests will be played at home site of higher-ranked team.

No. 5 Indiana vs. No. 12 Boise State
No. 6 Oregon vs. No. 11 Texas Tech
No. 7 Miami vs. No. 10 Texas A&M
No. 8 LSU vs. No. 9 Oklahoma

College Football Playoff Quarterfinals

Fiesta Bowl (Dec. 30)

Location: State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz.
Projection: No. 4 Notre Dame vs. No. 5 Indiana

Peach Bowl (Jan. 1)

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Ga.
Projection: No. 2 Georgia vs. No. 7 Miami

Cotton Bowl (Jan. 1)

Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas
Projection: No. 3 Texas vs No. 6 Oregon

Rose Bowl (Jan. 1)

Location: Rose Bowl Stadium in Pasadena, Calif.
Projection: No. 1 Ohio State vs. No. 8 LSU

Semifinals

Orange Bowl (Jan. 14)

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla.
Projection: No. 1 Ohio State vs. No. 4 Notre Dame

Sugar Bowl (Jan. 15)

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
Projection:No. 2 Georgia vs. No. 3 Texas

National Championship

Date: Jan. 25, 2026
Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nev.
Projection: No. 1 Ohio State over No. 2 Georgia

*Indicates conference not projected to fulfill all of its bowl tie-ins. An at-large team will be selected to fill those spots.

Published:
by Athlon Sports

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